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Reports By Sol Palha
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

 

 

 

                            Results from Dec 2008 to Dec 2009

 Main portfolio  

Symbol

Entry price

Current price

Exit price

Comments

 

 

Dow Dec 2008

 

(filled in Nov 2008)

7830-7840

   Sold

8560

 Sold for a gain of roughly 720 points, which translates into roughly 3600 dollars per contract.

 

Dow Dec 2008

 

(filled Dec Nov 2008)

8280

   Sold

8471-8503

Very easy fill as the contract traded well below this point.  Sold for a nice gain of roughly 220 points in just 2 days (Nov 2008)

 

Natural gas  Jan 09

6.35

   Stopped out

6.00

Stopped out at 6.00 for a loss of 3500 dollars.

 

Short Bond March 09

 

(filled Dec 08)

134-30 to 134-31

   Sold

133-30 to 134.00

Closed position out for a gain of 1000-1060 per contract.

 

Copper March 09

 

141

   Sold

150-151

 Sold (Dec 08) in the 150-151 ranges for a gain of 2250-2500 per contract.

 

Shorted Japanese Yen Dec 08

 

 

 

(Filled In Oct and in Dec 08)

103.45

   Stopped out

108.25

. Medium to high risk.  First half was Filled in Oct 08 in the 98.50-98.70 ranges.

 

2nd half filled in Dec 08 in the 108 -108.20 ranges for an average entry price of 103.45

 

Sold when stop was hit for a loss of roughly 6000 per contract.

 

Short March 09 Japanese Yen

 

(Dec 08)

113.80

   Sold

110.68-110.80

 Closed position out (Dec 08) for a gain of roughly 3750 per contract.

 

30 year bonds  March 09

135-27

   Sold

132-18 to 132-21

. Sold in the 132-18 to 132-21 ranges for a gain of between 3100-3300 per contract (Jan 2009). Traded as low as 131-23.

 

 

30 year bonds March 09

137-16 to 137-22

Sold

129 to 130.00

Stop was triggered on Jan 09, for a gain of roughly 7600-8600 per contract.

 

Dow March 09

 

(filled Dec 09)

8360-8380

Sold

8460-8470

Sold in 2 days for a gain of roughly 400-500 per contract in Dec 2008.

 

Dow March 09

 

(Filled Jan 09)

8650-8700

Rolled over

Rolled over

Rolled over  into the June contract

 

Short Japanese Yen  March 09

 

(filled in Jan 09)

111.80-112.00

Sold

103

Sold for a gain of roughly 11250 per contract (March 09) when profit stop at 103 was triggered. Some traders sold as low as 101.80.

 

Short Japanese Yen 09

 

(filled In Jan 09)

113.40

               Sold

108.70

Traded well below our suggested exit points, sold for a gain of roughly $5875 per contract.

 

Dow March 09

 

(Filled Jan 09)

7960-7980

   Sold

8260-8280

 Sold for a gain of roughly 1500 per contract (Feb 09)

 

Natural gas April 09

 

(filled In Feb 09)

3.95

   Sold

4.25-4.30

Sold for a gain of 3000-3500 per contract (march 09)

 

Bonds March 09

 

(filled March 09)

127

   Sold

129-22 to 130

Sold for a gain of 2600-3000 per contract (March 09)

 

Short Sugar May 09

 

(filled March 09)

13.65-13.70

Sold

13.35-13.40

Sold for a gain of 250-300 dollars per contract ( March 09)

 

Short Dow June 09

 

(filled March 09)

8650-8700

Sold

7800

We are rolled over from the March 09 contract. We were stopped out at 7800 for a loss of 4000-4500 per contract.

 

 

Short Euro June 09

 

(filled March 09)

136.70

Sold

at 132.50 and at 134

 Sold at 132.50 for a gain of 5250 per contract (April 09) and the other half at 134 for a gain of $3,375.

 

 

Dollar June 09


(filled March 09)

83.70-83.75

Sold

85.80

Sold for a profit of roughly 2100 per contract (March 2009)

 

Oil  May 09

 

(filled April 09)

48.00

Sold

52.00

 Sold when our profit stop at 50 was hit for a gain of $2,000 per contract (April 09)

 

 

Short Euro June 09

 

(filled April 09)

 

132.50

Stopped out

131.20

 

Closed for a loss of roughly $1650 per contract (April 09)

 

 Short Soybeans  May 09

 

(filled April 09)

1046-1050

   Sold

1010

Sold when profit stop at 1010 was hit for a gain of roughly $1800-2000 per contract (April 09(

 

Lean hogs  June 09

 

(Filled April 09)

72.10-72.30

   Stopped out

71.50

We were stopped out of this trade at 71.50 for a loss of roughly $280 per contract. (April 09)

 

Short Dollar June 09

 

 

(filled April 09)

87.00

   Sold

84.60 and 83.80

Sold in the 84.60-84.80 ranges for a profit of $2200-$2400 per contract (April 09). Sold 2nd half at 83.80 for a profit of $3200 per contract (May 09)

 

 

Natural gas  June 09

 

(filled April 09)

3.40

   Sold

4.40

Sold at 4.40 for a profit of $10,000 per contract (May 09)

 

Short Soybeans   May 09

 

(filled May 09)

1115

               Sold

1093

Sold at 1093 for a gain of $1100 per contract. (May 09)

 

Short Sugar  July 09

 

 

 

(filled May 09)

13.85

   Stopped out

14.27-14.30

Stop at 14.20 was triggered and traders should have bailed on in the 14.27 or higher ranges the following day for a loss of roughly $470-500 per contract. (April 09)

 

Short Dow June 09

 

(filled May 09)

8330-8350

               8700

Rolled over

Rolled over  

 

Short Dow June 09

 

(filled May 09)

8500-8550

               Sold

8300

Sold at 8300 for a profit of roughly $1250 per contract (May 09)

 

Gold June 09

 

(filled (May 09)

895

               Sold

927

Sold at 927 for a profit of 3200 per contract (May 09)

 

Short Oil  July 09


(filled June 09)

 

72.30-72.50

               Sold

70.2

. Sold  at 70.20 for a profit of $2,000 per contract (June 09)

 

Coffee   July 09

 

(filled in June 09)

123.55

Stopped out

119

Stopped out for a loss of roughly $1700 per contract.

 

Short Dow September 09


(filled in June 09)

8330-8350

Sold

8100-8160

Sold for a profit of roughly $1000-1250 per contract (July 09)

 

Short Oil August 09

 

(filled in June 09)

72.5

Profit stop hit

71

Profit stop at 71 hit for a gain of $1500 per contract.

 

Dollar Sept 09

 

(Filled June 09)

80

Stopped out

80

Stopped out for a break even.

 

 

Short Sugar  July 09


Filled June 09

15.6

Stopped out

16.5

. Stop at 16.05 was hit for a loss of $504 per contract.

 

Natural gas Aug 09

 

(filled July 09)

3.45

  Sold

3.55

Sold for 3.55 (July 09) for a profit of 1000 dollars, not bad considering that we held onto it for less than one day.

 

 

Short sugar Oct 09

 

(filled July 09)

17.58-17.65

Profit stop hit

17.4

 Sold for a profit of 200-280 per contract July 09)

 

Dollar Sept 09

 

(filled July 09)

79.10-79.15

                        Rolled over

 

  Rolled into December contract

 

Short Gold Aug 09


(filled July 09)

950

               Sold

945.00

Sold for a profit of roughly $500 per contract (July 09)

Short Euro  Sept 09

 

(filled July 09)

142.00

Rolled over

Rolled over

  Rolled over into December contract.

 

 

 

Cocoa   Sept 09

 

(filled July 09)

2730

Sold

2800

Sold at 2800 for a profit of roughly 700 per contract (Aug 09).

 

 

Short Dow Sept 09

 

(filled Aug 09)

 

9120

    Stopped out

9280-9300

Sold in the 9280-9300 ranges for a loss of $800-$900 a contract. (Aug 09)

Short Sugar Oct 09

 

(filled in Sept 09)

 

23.00

Profit stop hit at 22.00

22.00

Sold for a profit of 1120 per contract (Sept 2009)

Short Cotton Oct 09

 

(filled in Sept 09)

61

Sold

63.50-64.00

Sold in the 63.50 to 64.00 ranges for a loss of between 1250-1500 per contract (Oct 09)

 

Dollar  Dec 09

 

 

 

79.10-79.15

Rolled over

Rolled over

Rolled over from Sept contract. Rolled over again into March 10

 

 

Short Euro Dec 09

 

 

142.00

Rolled over

Rolled over

 Rolled over from September contract. Rolled over again into March 10

Short Dow Dec 09

 

(filled Oct 09)

9860

Stopped out

 

10150

 Stopped out at 10150 for a loss of $1450 per contract.

Short Euro Dec 09

 

(filled Oct 09)

150.10

Rolled over

Rolled over

Rolled over to March 10

Short Gold  Dec 09

 

(filled Oct 09)

1065-1070

Sold

1051

Sold for a profit of between 1400-1900 per contract (Oct 09)

 

Dollar Dec  09

 

(Filled Oct 09)

75.90

Sold

77.43

Sold at 77.43 for a gain of 1530 per contract (Nov 2009)

 

 

Dollar Dec 09

 

(filled Nov 09)

76.75

Rolled Over

Rolled over

 Rolled Over to March 10

Short Dow Dec 09

 

(filled Nov 09)

9850

Rolled over

Rolled over

Rolled over to March 10

Short Gold  Feb 10

 

(Filled Dec 09)

1215-1220

 

Sold

1205

Sold for a profit of 1000-1500 per contract (Dec 09)

Euro March 10

 

(filled Dec 09)

142

Sold

143.00

Sold for a loss of roughly $1250 per contract (Dec 09)

Dollar March 10

 

(filled Dec 09

76.75

 

Sold

77.10

Sold for a profit $350 per contract.

 

Euro March 10

 

(filled Dec 09)

150.10

Sold

146.00

Sold for a profit of 5,000 per contract (Dec 09)

Short Cocoa March 10

 

(Filled Dec 09)

3460

Sold

3400

Sold for a profit of roughly 600 per contract (Dec 09)

Short Dow March 10

 

(filled Dec 09)

9850

Stopped out

10550

 Stopped out at 10550 for a loss of 3500 per contract (Jan 10)

           

  We had a total of 51 trades, 42 were winners, 8 turned out to be losers and one was a break even.     

This gives us a win ratio of 82.3%, however if we add the break even trade as a win (since it was not a loss) the ratio moves up to 84.3%.   

Out of 51 trades we only had 8 losses and we only rolled over our positions 8 times in that 12 months period.  Very few services can boast such a high accuracy rate and our accuracy only seems to get better with each year.  If you truly want to make money and learn to trade futures at the same time then consider test driving our service.

 

 Special Situations portfolio

This portfolio carries a slightly higher risk than our main portfolio but the trades are monitored just as closely.  Its a good place to use profits generated from past main portfolio trades in an attempt to lock in even larger gains.  Our win ratio has been rather high over the years.  

Symbol

Entry price

Current price

Exit price

Comments

 

Coffee Dec 08

 

 

111.50

   Sold

111.60

Sold for a break even (Nov 08)

 Short Dow Dec 2008

 

 

8490

   Sold

8000

Sold in Nov 08 for a profit of roughly 2500 per contract.

Short March 09 Copper

142-145

   Sold

135

Profit stop at 135 was hit for a gain of 2500-3250 per contract in Jan 09. Though some trader sold in the 128 ranges for much larger gains.

 

Short Bonds March 09

 

(filled In Jan 09)

134-22

   Sold

126-15 to 126-21

 

Sold for  gain of roughly 8000 to 8200 per contract (Jan 09)

 Short Soybeans March 09

 

(filled In Jan 09)

1010

   Sold

1000

Profit stop at 1000 was hit for a gain of 500 dollars; we only in this trade for 2 days.

Short Dollar March 09

 

(filled March 09)

88.90-89.10

   Sold

87.30

High risk.  Sold for a gain of 1600-1800 per contract (March 09)

Soybeans  May 09

 

(filled March 09)

870

   Sold

960

. Sold for a profit of 4500 per contract. (March 09)

Short Japanese Yen  June 09

 

(filled April 09)

100.30

   Sold

Stopped out at 101.00

Sold for a loss of $875 per contract ( April 09)

Short Silver April 09

 

(April 09)

12.80

   Sold

11.90-12.00

Sold for a very quick gain of $4000-$4500 per contract.  (April 09)

Short Japanese Yen  June 09

 

(filled in April 09)

102.20

  Stopped out

103.20

Stopped out for a loss of $1250 per contract.  (April 09)

Bonds  June 09

 

(filled May 09)

120-30 to 121.00

  Stopped out

119-30

Stopped out for a loss of roughly $1000 per contract. (May 09)

Short Euro Sept 09

(filled June 09)

141.25

  Stopped out

141.25

Stopped out for a break even (June 09)

Short Japanese Yen Sept 09

 

(filled July 09)

107.00-107.10

  Stopped out

107.00-107.30

This trade was closed out as the Yen did not close within the 106.50-106.60 ranges. Hence traders closed this trade out the next day when it traded as low as 106.91 and closed at 107.57. Traders got out for a break even to  a small loss (July 09)

Short bond Sept 09

 

(filled July 09)

120-20

  Sold

119-24 to 120

a position, sold for a gain of roughly $625-$750  per contract (July 09)

Japanese Yen Sept 09

 

(filled Aug 09)

103.80

  Sold

144.25-144.30

 Sold in August for a profit of between $560-$625 per contract (Aug 09)

Copper  Sept 09

 

(filled in Sept)

274

  Sold

280

Profit stop was hit.  Sold for a gain of roughly 1500 per contract. (Sept 09)

Short Oil Oct 09

 

(filled in Sept 09)

73.30-73.38

  Sold

70.0-70.86

Sold for a profit of between 2400-3300 per contract. (Sept 2009)

 

Short Gold  Dec 09

 

(filled Nov 09

 

1115-1120

  Sold

1112

Sold for a profit of between 300-800 dollars per contract (Dec 09)

Sugar March 2010

 

(filled Dec 09)

23.50

Stopped out

26.70

Stopped out for a loss of roughly $3600 per contract (Dec 09)

In this portfolio 19 trades were issued, 13 turned out be winners, 2 were break evens and only 4 turned out be losers.  

This gives us a win ratio of 68%; this is excellent for a higher risk portfolio. However as 2 trades were break evens we can discount these two trades as they did not produce a loss or a profit; using this method where only 17 trades are counted, our win ratio jumps to a whopping 76%.  Very few services can even come close to boasting such a record especially when with a portfolio where most of the plays issued have a very high risk rating.